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Pico do coronavírus no Brasil: Estamos perto?

Contato: vitor.valenti@gmail.com

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Referências:

https://mrc-ide.github.io/covid19-short-term-forecasts/index.html#introduction

https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-todays-data-geographic-distribution-covid-19-cases-worldwide

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Situation Report – 146. 2020

Verity R, Okell L, Dorigatti I, Winskill P, Whittaker C, et al. 2020. Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: A model-based analysis. Lancet Infectious Diseases

Deaths relating to the coronavirus (COVID-19). 2020

Wang Y, Teunis PF. 2020. Strongly heterogeneous transmission of covid-19 in mainland china: Local and regional variation. medRxiv

Ferguson N, Laydon D, Nedjati Gilani G, Imai N, Ainslie K, et al. 2020. Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (npis) to reduce covid19 mortality and healthcare demand

Nouvellet P, Cori A, Garske T, Blake IM, Dorigatti I, et al. 2018. A simple approach to measure transmissibility and forecast incidence. Epidemics. 22:29–35

Fraser C. 2007. Estimating individual and household reproduction numbers in an emerging epidemic. PloS One. 2(8):

Cori A, Ferguson NM, Fraser C, Cauchemez S. 2013. A new framework and software to estimate time-varying reproduction numbers during epidemics. American journal of epidemiology. 178(9):1505–12

Parag KV, Donnelly CA. 2019. Optimising renewal models for real-time epidemic prediction and estimation. bioRxiv, p. 835181

https://noticias.uol.com.br/ultimas-noticias/efe/2020/06/17/oms-ve-estabilizacao-em-curva-de-contagios-no-brasil-mas-pede-cautela.htm

https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/equilibrioesaude/2020/06/para-oms-brasil-caminha-para-estabilizacao-e-precisa-redobrar-cautela.shtml

https://epiforecasts.io/covid/posts/global/

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